Rock slope kinematic analysis for planar failure: A probabilistic approach

The probabilistic kinematic analysis for rock slope has been conducted on one along USAID road in Aceh Province, Indonesia. This research aims to develop the modelled probability density function (PDF) and determine of planar failure occurrence ( P op ). geometry discontinuity planes (dip dip directions) (slope angle face) were collected from our previous study. One with criteria was selected. Monte Carlo simulations performed generating 100 new random values time iterations produce PDFs plans based statistical parameters field observed data. each experimental computed occurrence. result reveals that distribution directions are considered Beta Normal distributions. produced model almost likely similar It means developed reliable conscientious. rule Φ < βj βs α j ) within ±20° face s utilised as boundaries calculate which revealing 0.26.